Supply Planning

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Global Demand Forecasts
National Forecasts & Quantification
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Photo Credit: USAID Kenya

Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

Global Demand Forecasts

Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

National Forecasts & Quantification

Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

Success Stories
Fewer Bottles, More Pills, Less Stress
ProcurementSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSNigeria
Over the years, Nigeria has made significant strides to ensure patients can access adequate antiretroviral therapy (ART) during clinic visits. Despite these efforts, the ART clinics in Nigeria have continued to see an increase in the number of people coming through their doors daily. Noticeably,…
Success Stories
Reaching the Unreached: PMI helps Ghana's NMEP to deliver bed nets to orphanages
Supply PlanningMalariaGhana
As Evelyn watches the children play at sunset, she feels a deep sense of compassion, recalling how they all came to be under her care. Some were orphaned, others victims of trafficking, or abandoned. Regardless of how they arrived at the children’s home where she works, she loves them as though…
News Article
Why it Matters: How data visibility and high-level decision-making affect real people
ProcurementSupply PlanningReproductive HealthGhana
“They told me there was a shortage. Norigynon wasn't available at all, and Depo Provera too. I didn't like the pill because I might forget, and I didn't want to risk it at all.” Leticia Mensah had big dreams. When she got married, she wanted to be a mother but also wanted to continue her…
All News and Highlights

Resources

Success Stories

Fewer Bottles, More Pills, Less Stress
ProcurementSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSNigeria
Over the years, Nigeria has made significant strides to ensure patients can access adequate antiretroviral therapy (ART) during clinic visits. Despite these efforts, the ART clinics in Nigeria have continued to see an increase in the number of people coming through their doors daily. Noticeably,…
Reaching the Unreached: PMI helps Ghana's NMEP to deliver bed nets to orphanages
Supply PlanningMalariaGhana
As Evelyn watches the children play at sunset, she feels a deep sense of compassion, recalling how they all came to be under her care. Some were orphaned, others victims of trafficking, or abandoned. Regardless of how they arrived at the children’s home where she works, she loves them as though…
Empowering Zambia's Health Supply Chain Future
Supply PlanningWorkforce DevelopmentZambia
When Olivia was a child growing up in Lusaka South, Zambia, she knew she wanted to work in public health, but becoming a nurse wasn’t an option she considered. Instead, Olivia had set her sights on a degree in public health and business administration at the University of Zambia (UNZA). She…