Supply Planning

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Global Demand Forecasts
National Forecasts & Quantification
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Photo Credit: USAID Kenya

Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

Global Demand Forecasts

Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

National Forecasts & Quantification

Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

Success Stories
From Crisis to Confidence
Supply Chain HeroSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSGhana
Today is clinic day at Bechem Hospital in the Ahafo Region, for persons with HIV. Pharmacist Philip Opoku usually enjoys making sure his clients get their antiretroviral medications, especially since many travel long distances. But today he was almost out of medications and worried about…
Success Stories
From Stockouts to Success: Inside Liberia’s Bold Move to Advance Family Planning with Data-Driven Solutions
Supply PlanningReproductive HealthLiberia
In the quiet early hours of Harper City, Maryland County in Liberia, Sametta George sits down to write her “to-do” list for the day. As the city stirs awake, Sametta steps out knowing her day as Liberia’s Family Planning Coordinator will veer far from her carefully laid plans. After 23 years of…
Success Stories
Fewer Bottles, More Pills, Less Stress
ProcurementSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSNigeria
Over the years, Nigeria has made significant strides to ensure patients can access adequate antiretroviral therapy (ART) during clinic visits. Despite these efforts, the ART clinics in Nigeria have continued to see an increase in the number of people coming through their doors daily. Noticeably,…
All News and Highlights

Resources

Success Stories

From Crisis to Confidence
Supply Chain HeroSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSGhana
Today is clinic day at Bechem Hospital in the Ahafo Region, for persons with HIV. Pharmacist Philip Opoku usually enjoys making sure his clients get their antiretroviral medications, especially since many travel long distances. But today he was almost out of medications and…
From Stockouts to Success: Inside Liberia’s Bold Move to Advance Family Planning with Data-Driven Solutions
Supply PlanningReproductive HealthLiberia
In the quiet early hours of Harper City, Maryland County in Liberia, Sametta George sits down to write her “to-do” list for the day. As the city stirs awake, Sametta steps out knowing her day as Liberia’s Family Planning Coordinator will veer far from her carefully laid plans. After 23 years of…
Fewer Bottles, More Pills, Less Stress
ProcurementSupply PlanningHIV/AIDSNigeria
Over the years, Nigeria has made significant strides to ensure patients can access adequate antiretroviral therapy (ART) during clinic visits. Despite these efforts, the ART clinics in Nigeria have continued to see an increase in the number of people coming through their doors daily. Noticeably,…